Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 1.149117 1.423231 1.724931 2.078676 2.479138 2.915612 3.424462
2025-06-08 0.763376 1.118088 1.550604 2.103399 2.777928 3.561767 4.528791
2025-06-15 0.558754 0.962195 1.502552 2.245406 3.207202 4.379655 5.885609
2025-06-22 0.400070 0.816615 1.429243 2.330244 3.558805 5.117509 7.185611
2025-06-29 0.278856 0.684229 1.340344 2.369361 3.839720 5.771095 8.404695
2025-07-06 0.179943 0.549062 1.213536 2.327119 3.993075 6.254410 9.416520
2025-07-13 0.122424 0.465174 1.146909 2.357500 4.239164 6.861791 10.602496
2025-07-20 0.081074 0.393577 1.082837 2.377318 4.462043 7.437921 11.757537
2025-07-27 0.047143 0.315505 0.985232 2.323838 4.562655 7.838570 12.679229
2025-08-03 0.025541 0.252208 0.898464 2.272914 4.656117 8.224400 13.583499
2025-08-10 0.014298 0.212575 0.851693 2.285201 4.845714 8.750959 14.692043
2025-08-17 0.006084 0.167702 0.776599 2.230810 4.917367 9.099741 15.552550
2025-08-24 0.003408 0.153465 0.779960 2.335368 5.267353 9.886999 17.072744
2025-08-31 0.001126 0.127057 0.739031 2.342978 5.450179 10.424996 18.246818
2025-09-07 0.000542 0.121242 0.760418 2.485342 5.875201 11.347804 19.999875
2025-09-14 0.000137 0.109098 0.756445 2.570683 6.201428 12.124141 21.552254
2025-09-21 0.000005 0.093478 0.733500 2.609573 6.443943 12.773565 22.928072
2025-09-28 NaN 0.072359 0.677512 2.562919 6.524623 13.165784 23.926794
2025-10-05 NaN 0.060981 0.655717 2.594571 6.750706 13.794155 25.287147
2025-10-12 NaN 0.050511 0.631235 2.615310 6.954814 14.389189 26.604120
2025-10-19 NaN 0.037172 0.579774 2.557991 7.003129 14.728390 27.536574
2025-10-26 NaN 0.026742 0.532657 2.503482 7.051397 15.065652 28.468608
2025-11-02 NaN 0.021097 0.511147 2.516551 7.233908 15.629086 29.755081